According the work of Thomas Bulkowski at thepatternsite.com the most common target for a trendline breakout is 80% of the depth below the trendline before the breakout. We are now within a couple of points of that target for the SP500. The most common course of action for a market or stock after a successful breakout is to retest the trendline, which we have yet to do. Although there are multiple levels of support for the SP500, the most logical expectation is for a retest of the broken trendline. The longer it takes, the further down the trendline projects, but it is still above the July 2010 low at the moment.
Thursday, January 27, 2011
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