It appears the markets have decided and a breakout above the March highs is imminent. Of course, something could change between now and the open, but with the London-FTSE already above the March highs this morning, it looks fairly certain that US markets will follow. Expect some acceleration once the Dow gets above 8000. While 4/7 is a turn date, it may be nothing more than a pause, just like 3/17 was. Traders should not hesitate to jump on board this breakout train with appropriate position sizing and risk management.
The 3 week lows on the Dow, SP500 and QQQQ are 7172.02, 749.93 and 28.19, respectively. The 3 ATR(10 day) lows on the Dow, SP500 and QQQQ are 7176.17, 749.19 and 28.37, respectively. (Please verify these numbers for yourself and do your own work.) I would choose stop loss levels below the lower of the above number, which are fairly large spreads, so your position size may be smaller than usual.
Good trading.
Thursday, April 2, 2009
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